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Solar Output by Month NSW: Summer vs Winter (6.6kW, 10kW)

Posted 29 Jul

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SUMMER VS WINTER SOLAR OUTPUT: MONTHLY KWH FOR 6.6KW, 10KW, & 13KW SOLAR SYSTEMS

With summer around the corner, it is about to become the best time of the year to own solar in the Hunter. Longer days paired with the higher sun means that your solar panels will work harder and longer compared to other seasons. This guide shows what a 6.6kW, 10kW, and 13kW system should generate each month, why summer beats winter, and what to do now to get the most out of the season.

Quick answer: A 6.6kW solar system in Newcastle generates around 32-36kWh per day in summer (December), and about 19-22kWh in Winter (June). This means that solar systems will be reduced in winter by around 35-40% compared to summer months. It comes down to the higher sun, longer days, and more peak sun hours.

SUMMER VS. WINTER SOLAR OVERVIEW


Summer
Winter
Sunrise & Sunset 5:40am - 8:00pm 7:00am - 5:00pm
Daylight Hours (Peak)
14.4 Hours 10 Hours
Midday Sun Angle
80 Degrees 31 Degrees
Peak Sun Hours
5 - 5.5 Hours
3 - 3.5 Hours
6.6kW System Output 32-36 Hours 19-22 Hours

Estimated times are for the solstice, in daylight saving time in summer. Peak sun hours and output are monthly averages from Bureau of Meteorology solar exposure data.

WHY SOLAR PRODUCES MORE IN THE SUMMER

Solar produces more in the summer due to 3 elements.

1. The Sun is higher in Summer. At around midday in NSW, the sun reaches a peak of 80 degrees above the horizon in December, and only around 34 degrees in July. The higher sun results in greater solar delivery to each panel.

2. The days are longer in Summer. With over 4+ extra hours of daylight during summer, it enables panels to continue generating for longer - starting earlier and finishing later.

3. Summer has more peak sun hours. A peak sun hour is when the sun is at its full strength sunshine, and in Newcastle summer reaches up to 5.5 hours, and winter up to 3.5 hours of peak sunlight.

The change between seasons is gradual. Output builds through spring and fades through autumn, so there is no cliff in either direction.

Side-by-side sun path arc diagram for Newcastle — summer showing high 80 degree arc vs winter showing low 31 degree arc, same roof, same panels.

WHAT IS THE BEST SEASON FOR SOLAR GENERATION?

The shift from winter to summer and back is gradual, not a switch. Understanding how your system ramps through spring, and drops through autumn - helps you set realistic expectations and spot genuine underperformance versus normal seasonal variation.

Month Peak sun hours 6.6kW system 10kW system 13.3kW system
December 5.0–5.4 32–36 kWh 48–55 kWh 64–73 kWh
January 5.2–5.5 32–36 kWh 48–55 kWh 64–73 kWh
February 4.8–5.2 30–33 kWh 45–50 kWh 60–67 kWh
March 4.2–4.6 26–30 kWh 39–45 kWh 52–60 kWh
April 3.8–4.2 22–26 kWh 33–39 kWh 44–52 kWh
May 3.2–3.6 20–23 kWh 30–35 kWh 40–46 kWh
June 3.0–3.3 19–22 kWh 29–33 kWh 38–44 kWh
July 3.1–3.5 20–23 kWh 30–35 kWh 40–46 kWh
August 3.6–4.0 23–26 kWh 35–39 kWh 46–52 kWh
September 4.0–4.4 25–29 kWh 38–44 kWh 50–58 kWh
October 4.5–4.9 28–32 kWh 42–48 kWh 56–64 kWh
November 4.8–5.2 30–34 kWh 45–52 kWh 60–69 kWh

Source: Bureau of Meteorology solar exposure data. Real output depends on your roof direction, tilt, shading, inverter and the weather on the day.

Over a full year a 6.6kW system averages roughly 26 kWh a day, so summer is where most of your annual generation comes from.


Hourly solar production chart

DOES SOLAR PANEL DIRECTION MATTER IN SUMMER?

Yes, solar panel direction matters as it changes when your solar is produced.

North-facing panels are the ideal direction for NSW properties.

East-facing solar panels helps produce more energy in the mornings.

West-facing panels are best for afternoon solar production.


A multi-array system can suit homes that use most of their energy in the morning and evenings. For properties with battery storage, a north-facing solar system will generally be enough but this will depend on the home and usage.

WHAT TIME OF DAY DOES SOLAR PRODUCE THE MOST?

Across every season on average, solar production is mostly between 10am to 2pm. In summer the times are broader with strong solar output from about 9am to 4pm. Winter is narrower and has less peak hours.

Referring to the graph comparing the exact same system during winter vs. summer, you can see that summer has a much broader amount of hours where sunlight hits the panels, making it much better for your solar generation.

In the winter months, the sun starts to rise around 7:30am, peaks between 11am-12:45pm producing the most solar energy, then sets at around 4:30pm.

In summer months, the sun rises around 6:45am, and peaks in solar production between 11am-3pm, and tapers around 7pm.

Winter vs summer solar production graph comparison
Solar panel array installation on residential rooftop

SUMMER ISN'T PERFECT FOR SOLAR. HERE'S WHY.

Summer is the best season for solar, however there are 3 things that could reduce your overall generation.

1. Heat reduces your panel efficiency. When panels get hot, they begin to lose their efficiency with some panels dropping -0.29%/C°. On a 35° day, the panels will sit at around 60° and lose roughly 10% of their efficiency at the hottest part of the day. The lost efficiency is generally made up by the longer days.

2. Inverter Bottlenecks. Whilst a 6.6kW solar and 5kW inverter system is common, a clear summer's day will hit the 5kW limit pretty quickly and flatten its performance. However, these systems are designed to capture greater solar production during the morning and afternoon.

3. Storms & Smoke. Summer also brings various weather including heavy storm clouds, wind which can kick dust up on the panels, and bushfire smoke which can all affect the output during the day. Bushfire smoke is very common in the Maitland & Port Stephens region.

HOW DOES DAYLIGHT SAVINGS AFFECT SOLAR GENERATION?

Daylight savings does not change how much power your solar panels make. It changes when the power is generated. Starting on October 4th 2026, daylight savings will last until Sunday, 4th April, 2027.

With the clock moved forward, the sun is at its peak at around 12:40-1pm, so the strongest solar window is roughly between 11am to 3pm. This also means that the sun sets closer to 7-8pm, which will help cover more evening cooking and laundry energy usage with solar power - helping save on energy bills.

If you run your pool pump, hot water, or any other controlled loads during the day, double check that they are running at the optimal hours as it will shift in daylght savings.

Daylight savings and solar generation in Australia



YOUR SUMMER SOLAR CHECKLIST

  • Check your monitoring app. Compare a clear day last week with the table above. If you are well below it, find out why before the peak of summer.
  • Look for new shading. Spring growth on trees and neighbouring plants can reach a panel row without you noticing.
  • Reset your timers after the daylight saving change.
  • Clean your panels only when they need it. Rain does most of the work. If you see heavy dust, pollen or bird droppings, have it cleaned by a professional rather than climbing on the roof. Our guide to cleaning solar and battery systems explains how.
  • Move big loads to the middle of the day. Washing, dishwasher, pool pump and hot water all run best between about 10am and 3pm.
  • Set your battery reserve before storm season, so you keep backup power if the grid drops. Our blackout guide explains what your battery will and will not run.
  • Confirm your insurance covers your solar and battery. We cover that in our insurance guide.
  • Know your tariff. Summer peak pricing starts at 2pm, just as solar starts to fade. See our guide to peak and off peak times in NSW.

CONCLUSION

As of the time of this article, your solar output is highest from now until March. This is the season to get the most out of your energy, so run your big appliances in the middle of the day, keep an eye on your monitoring app, and set your timers correctly.



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